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It's important to remember when looking at forex that a higher currency makes a country's exports more expensive for other countries, while making imports cheaper. A lower currency makes exports cheaper and imports more expensive, so foreign exchange rates play a significant part in determining the trading relationship between two countries. There are a variety of factors at play in this relationship and they all contribute in some way to whether the strength of a currency declines or improves in relation to another. Understanding the influencing factors gives traders insights they can incorporate into their forex trading strategies.
When trading forex, you always speculate on whether the price of the base currency will rise or fall against the counter currency. So in AUD/USD if you think AUD will rise against USD, you go long (buy) the currency pair. Alternatively, if you think AUD will fall against USD (or that USD will rise against AUD), you go short (sell) the currency pair.
The information on Forex Factory is sourced in from Fair Economy and relayed in real time. Micro movements are also monitored by the broker partners of the platform. Forex Factory follows standard candlestick charts of multiple durations ranging from 1 minute to 1 month. There are 28 forex instruments available to trade on Forex Factory that are offered by its different broker partners.
Strong trending markets work best for carry trades as the strategy involves a lengthier time horizon. Confirmation of the trend should be the first step prior to placing the trade (higher highs and higher lows and vice versa) – refer to Example 1 above. There are two aspects to a carry trade namely, exchange rate risk and interest rate risk. Accordingly, the best time to open the positions is at the start of a trend to capitalise fully on the exchange rate fluctuation. Regarding the interest rate component, this will remain the same regardless of the trend as the trader will still receive the interest rate differential if the first named currency has a higher interest rate against the second named currency e.g. AUD/JPY.
Using the (CCI) as a tool to time entries, notice how each time CCI dipped below -100 (highlighted in blue), prices responded with a rally. Not all trades will work out this way, but because the trend is being followed, each dip caused more buyers to come into the market and push prices higher. In conclusion, identifying a strong trend is important for a fruitful trend trading strategy.
All data are displayed in chronological order, divided by day. Released data are marked with a tick () under the “time left” column. A light grey horizontal line shows you where we stand at the moment and below that line go all upcoming data. Time left before next release is indicated so you quickly grasp when this is coming. When a new data is released, the calendar page is automatically refreshed so you do not miss it. If you want, you can enable a sound notification for all releases.
Forex Factory Scanner: The Scanner is a newly added feature which gives users a birds’ eye view of the top movements in the market. You can check out the bid spread, the pip spread, % change, high-low, and charts at a single glace. The time frames available are 1 minute, 5-minute, 1 hour, 4-hour, 1 day, and 1 month. The Scanner feature makes up for the lack of a mobile app as it opens up easily on any mobile browser.
For this strategy, we will use the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) indicator. The previous week's last daily candlestick has to be closed at a level above the EMA value. Now we have to look for the moment when the previous week's maximum level was broken. Next, a buy stop order is placed on the H4 closed candlestick, at the price level of the broken level.